Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.265319 2.584485 2.932653 3.340697 3.805908 4.319901 4.931089
2025-08-31 1.779018 2.213992 2.730900 3.390700 4.211109 5.198549 6.478844
2025-09-07 1.482784 1.958925 2.559040 3.371423 4.443752 5.812822 7.697206
2025-09-14 1.260604 1.748903 2.394717 3.312133 4.583938 6.288213 8.751994
2025-09-21 1.102277 1.595527 2.275724 3.283271 4.740764 6.777753 9.850958
2025-09-28 0.970364 1.458914 2.158282 3.233775 4.850009 7.195569 10.872407
2025-10-05 0.935050 1.455687 2.227017 3.454735 5.365554 8.236396 12.898075
2025-10-12 0.857299 1.378240 2.174837 3.483720 5.587859 8.851914 14.327525
2025-10-19 0.811605 1.344670 2.184344 3.605738 5.961155 9.726318 16.238625
2025-10-26 0.741890 1.264416 2.110729 3.584040 6.096118 10.226583 17.579125
2025-11-02 0.682414 1.194664 2.046539 3.569472 6.237418 10.743250 18.986126
2025-11-09 0.620864 1.114993 1.957638 3.502656 6.279953 11.091611 20.126077
2025-11-16 0.581174 1.073871 1.937976 3.567757 6.583031 11.958031 22.348376
2025-11-23 0.541764 1.029961 1.910523 3.618962 6.872168 12.839101 24.714927
2025-11-30 0.497064 0.970943 1.848800 3.598477 7.022947 13.477081 26.684684
2025-12-07 0.452091 0.906325 1.769585 3.535165 7.082936 13.946054 28.370326
2025-12-14 0.416046 0.855205 1.710647 3.504348 7.201339 14.535307 30.351381
2025-12-21 0.381429 0.803194 1.644518 3.451498 7.268244 15.025814 32.176709
2025-12-28 0.379777 0.818907 1.715569 3.687431 7.954036 16.835504 36.957783
2026-01-04 0.357946 0.789578 1.690887 3.718380 8.207956 17.770134 39.949806
2026-01-11 0.346869 0.782286 1.711563 3.848670 8.688902 19.230952 44.250894
2026-01-18 0.323557 0.745469 1.665074 3.825502 8.826188 19.955192 46.959755
2026-01-25 0.302891 0.712537 1.623906 3.809945 8.978424 20.725389 49.852204